Global trade tensions are heating up again! 🔥 The U.S. and EU recently raised concerns about China’s industrial 'overcapacity,' with Washington slapping new tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles (EVs). But is this really a new problem—or just history repeating itself? 🕰️
Gao Shanwen, an economist at SDIC Securities, points to America’s own industrial past for clues. From railroads 🚂 to cars 🚗 and tech 💻, U.S. industries historically faced overcapacity during their growth phases. "Periodic overcapacity is almost inevitable as industries mature," he explains. Sound familiar? This pattern mirrors today’s debates around China’s EV and green tech sectors.
Why does this matter? 🌐 With global markets tightly interconnected, accusations of overcapacity often spark trade disputes. The U.S. claims Chinese subsidies distort competition, while analysts argue innovation and scale drive China’s industrial rise. Could tariffs backfire? 🤔 Experts warn protectionism might slow the green transition, as affordable Chinese EVs play a key role in combating climate change.
One thing’s clear: economic rivalries are shaping our future. Whether through dialogue 📢 or tariffs ⚖️, the world’s response to these challenges will define the next chapter of globalization.
Reference(s):
Historical patterns, status quo and countermeasures to overcapacity
cgtn.com