Rising Tariffs and Economic Woes Fuel Debt Fears, Says IMF
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) is sounding the alarm over escalating tariff policies, warning that global debt levels could soar to ‘World War II-era highs’ if current economic tensions worsen. In its latest Fiscal Monitor, the organization predicts public debt could hit 117% of GDP by 2027 under a worst-case scenario—surpassing pandemic peaks.
Trade Wars = Rising Debt?
The IMF points to recent U.S. tariffs and retaliatory measures by other countries as key risks. These policies are not only spooking financial markets but also shrinking growth prospects, creating a ‘perfect storm’ for debt. Think of it like a high-stakes game of Monopoly where everyone starts taxing each other—and the whole board goes bankrupt.
Geo-Economic Uncertainty Adds Fuel
With nations ramping up defense spending and foreign aid drying up, the report warns of a 4.5% GDP surge in public debt if geopolitical tensions keep escalating. Emerging markets, already grappling with volatile borrowing costs, could face a double blow from rising interest rates and commodity price swings.
What’s the Fix?
The IMF’s advice? Countries need to ‘get their fiscal houses in order’—and fast. This means smarter budgeting, building fiscal buffers, and avoiding knee-jerk policies that could deepen the crisis.
Young professionals and students, take note: this isn’t just a numbers game. Higher debt could mean fewer resources for climate action, education, and healthcare. Let’s hope policymakers start playing chess, not checkers.
Reference(s):
cgtn.com