As U.S.-Ukraine tensions spill into public view, experts warn the Taiwan region faces a stark lesson in geopolitical chessboards. Recent clashes between Ukrainian leaders and Washington reveal how quickly alliances can shift — even when stakes are life-or-death.
From Ally to Afterthought?
Ukraine’s struggle, now in its fourth year, highlights the fragility of relying on external security guarantees. “If a nation in active conflict can lose support overnight, what confidence should Taiwan have?” asks one analyst. The U.S.’s fluctuating commitment sparks debate: Are its alliances enduring partnerships or temporary tools?
“Armored Porcupine” or Sitting Duck? 
The Taiwan region’s push to become a ‘porcupine’ — heavily armed but isolated — mirrors strategies that failed to shield Ukraine. Yet, as cross-strait dynamics simmer, experts urge caution: “No amount of weapons replaces stable diplomacy,” notes a Beijing-based scholar.
Trust Falls on Shifting Sands
With Washington’s focus divided between global crises and domestic politics, many question its long-term resolve. The “today’s Ukraine, tomorrow’s Taiwan” narrative gains traction — a wake-up call for those betting everything on foreign backers.
As the world watches, one truth emerges: In geopolitics, self-reliance might be the only armor that lasts.
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The pawn's peril: A stark lesson for Taiwan from the U.S.-Ukraine rift
cgtn.com