Syrian rebels declared Sunday they've taken control of Damascus and toppled President Bashar al-Assad's regime, marking a stunning turn in the 13-year conflict. Analysts say government missteps and shifting global dynamics fueled the rebel advance. Here's what you need to know:
Why the Sudden Shift? 🧠
Li Zixin, a researcher at the China Institute of International Studies, explained to state media that Syria's government underestimated rebel capabilities, leading to reduced military spending and the abolition of compulsory conscription. This left defenses vulnerable as conflicts elsewhere drained resources from key allies like Russia and Iran.
Global Pressures Mount 🌐
The Palestinian-Israeli conflict and Ukraine war have stretched Russia's capacity to assist Syria, while regional ally Hezbollah faces its own challenges. With Damascus now a battleground, analysts say Assad's forces are struggling to regroup effectively.
Diplomatic Moves Ahead? 🤝
Saturday's talks between Russia, Türkiye, and Iran aimed to create a framework for peace, but Li notes competing priorities among the three powers may delay concrete solutions. Meanwhile, released prisoners add uncertainty to an already volatile landscape.
Reference(s):
Expert: Government's misjudgment paved way for rebel advance in Syria
cgtn.com